Current data suggest that it is not possible to see aurora now at middle latitudes
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C1.63

Auroral activity

Live
chance
High latitude 77%
Middle latitude 4%
Low latitude 4%
Today
Minor Severe
High latitude 20% 20%
Middle latitude 5% 1%
Predicted Kp max 4

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100%

Latest alerts

A Middle Latitude Auroral Activity Watch is currently in effect. There is a slight chance for middle latitude auroral activity.
G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm (Kp 6o) - High latitude sky watchers have a high chance to see visual aurora. The higher middle latitudes have a good chance to see visible aurora on the northern or southern horizon, depending on which hemisphere you are located. There is also a slight chance for weak aurora on the horizon at the lower middle latitudes but the chances are still low.
Strong M3.97 solar flare from sunspot region 12146

Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2014/06/11X1.0
Last M-flare:2014/08/25M3.9
Last geomagnetic storm:2014/08/29Kp5 (G1)

This day in history*

Solar flares
11998M1.5
22000C9.1
32002C6.7
41999C6.6
51998C4.9
ApG
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3200016
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*since 1994