Kosmoseilma ennustuse alane diskusioon

Välja antud: 2026 Jun 20 0030 UTC
Koostanud Ameerika Ühendriikide kaubandusosakond, NOAA, kosmoseilma prognoosikeskus (SWPC) ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-i poolt

Päikese aktiivsus

24 h summaarne

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4470 (N06E28, Dao/beta) produced a C4.2/1f flare at 19/1938 UTC, the strongest of the period. All spotted active regions were either stable or in gradual decay. Other activity included a small filament eruption near S20E20 that began after 19/0300 UTC. A faint, slow-moving CME signature appeared in STEREO-A COR2 imagery but was not apparent in other available coronagraph imagery. Analysis and modeling of the event indicated most of the ejecta will likely miss behind Earths orbit, with a slight possibility of a portion grazing Earth by mid to late on 23 Jun.

Ennustus

Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 20-22 Jun, with a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares.

Energeetilised osakesed

24 h summaarne

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.

Ennustus

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate levels over 20-22 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels through 22 Jun.

Päikese tuul

24 h summaarne

Solar wind parameters were slightly enhanced this period. Total magnetic field strength reached 10 nT, the Bz component was observed as far south as -7 nT, and solar wind speeds ranged from ~330-460 km/s. Phi angle was primarily oriented in a positive solar sector.

Ennustus

Solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced through 21 Jun due to CH HSS influences.

Georuum

24 h summaarne

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels this period.

Ennustus

The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active levels on 20 Jun in response to weak, yet persistent CH HSS influences. Quiet to unsettled levels are likely on 21-22 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish.