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Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2025 Jun 20 1233 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
20 Jun 2025135011
21 Jun 2025133016
22 Jun 2025130012

Zonnevlekkengebieden en zonnevlammen

Solar flaring activity was at high levels over the past 24 hours. A total of 7 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk. The strongest activity was a X1.9 flare (SIDC 4707) produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 523 (NOAA Active Region 4114) with peak time 09:17 UTC on June 19. This region was responsible for most of the flaring activity, including an M4.6 flare (SIDC Flare 4711) peak time 00:04 UTC on June 20. The region has meanwhile decreased its underlying magnetic field complexity and is currently classified as magnetic type beta-gamma. Other notable regions are SIDC Sunspot Group 526 (NOAA Active Region 4117), classified as beta-gamma and SIDC Sunspot Group 527 (NOAA Active Region 4118), classified as magnetic type beta. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the next 24 hours with expected C-class flares and 55% chances of M-class flaring.

Coronale massa uitstoten

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

Coronale gaten

A large positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 104) continues to reside on the central meridian. This is a mid-latitude southern coronal hole covering a large longitudinal range which first crossed the central meridian on June 11. High speed stream emanating from it is expected to continue influencing the Earth over the next days.

Zonnewind

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) remained under the continuous influence of a high speed stream from a large positive-polarity coronal hole, which continues to partly reside on the central meridian. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) was mildly enhanced with a maximum value of 9.7 nT and a minimum Bz of -7.7 nT. The solar wind speed was slowly varying, currently around 600 km/s. The B field phi angle was predominantly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to continue to be under the influence of a high speed stream over the next days.

Geomagnetisme

The greater than 10 MeV GOES 18 electron flux briefly exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold over the last 24 hours and is expected to exceed the threshold again over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at the nominal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

Proton flux niveaus

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux has been at nominal levels and is expected to remain at nominal levels over the next days.

Elektronenfluxen in geostationaire baan

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to active. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 112, gebaseerd op 25 stations.

Zon indexen voor 19 Jun 2025

Wolfgetal Catania104
10cm zonneflux136
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst012
Geschatte Ap013
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal132 - Gebaseerd op 25 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

DagStartMaxEindeLocatieSterkteOP10cmCatania/NOAASoorten radio-uitbarstingen
19233723502354----X1.902/4114
20000200040006N19W39M4.61N02/4114III/1

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

Alle tijden in UTC

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