Het archief bekijken van zaterdag 19 oktober 1996
Activiteitenrapport
Rapport van de zonne- en geofysische activiteit van 1996 Oct 19 2200 UTCOpgemaakt door de NOAA © SWPC en verwerkt door Poollicht.be
USAF/NOAA rapport van de zonneactiviteit en geofysische activiteit
SDF Nummer 293 gepubliceerd omstreeks 2200Z op 19 OCT 1996IA. Analyse van de actieve zonneregio's en zonneactiviteit van 18-2100Z tot 19-2100Z
SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. HOWEVER, A LARGE
FILAMENT LOCATED BETWEEN S28E61-S33E80 BEGAN TO DISAPPEAR NEAR
19/1600Z. THIS FILAMENT BECAME AN ERUPTIVE PROMINENCE AS IT
CONTINUED OUT BEYOND THE LIMB NEAR S28 TO A MAXIMUM HEIGHT OF
0.4R BEFORE FADING IN H-ALPHA. A LONG DURATION SOFT X-RAY
ENHANCEMENT BEGAN NEAR 19/1625Z AND REACHED A MAXIMUM OF A6
AT 19/1738Z. THE DECAY OF THIS X-RAY EVENT CONTINUES AT ISSUE
TIME. IT IS CERTAIN THIS EVENT REPRESENTS A LARGE CORONAL MASS
EJECTION. A NEW SMALL REGION IS APPEARING AT APPROXIMATELY
N15E90 IN RECENT YOHKOH IMAGES.
IB. Voorspelling zonneactiviteit
SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY SHOULD
CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 18/2100Z TO 19/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED BETWEEN UNSETTLED AND MINOR
STORM LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD AS THE CORONAL HOLE RELATED
DISTURBANCE CONTINUED. SOME HIGH LATITUDE SITES EXPERIENCED
PERIODS OF MAJOR STORMING. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Voorspelling geofysische activiteit
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
SHOULD REMAIN AT UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM LEVELS FOR 20 OCT
AND EARLY 21 OCT. UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY ACTIVE CONDITIONS
SHOULD BE EXPERIENCED FOR THE LATTER HALF OF 21 OCT AND
THROUGH 22 OCT. THE PROBABLE CME MENTIONED ABOVE IS NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH DUE TO ITS MODERATELY HIGH
LATITUDE, NEAR EAST LIMB LOCATION, AND APPARENT TRAJECTORY
OUT OF THE ECLIPTIC PLANE.
III. Kans zonnevlammen van 20 OCT tot 22 OCT
| Klasse M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Klasse X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Geobserveerd 19 OCT 071 Voorspeld 20 OCT-22 OCT 071/071/071 90 Day Mean 19 OCT 071
V. Geomagnetische A index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 OCT 025/021 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 OCT 023/028 PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 OCT-22 OCT 020/025-012/015-012/015
VI. Kansen geomagnetische activiteit van 20 OCT tot 22 OCT
| A. Gemiddelde breedtegraad | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Actief | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Kleine stormcondities | 35% | 15% | 10% |
| Zware-ernstige stormcondities | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Hoge breedtegraad | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Actief | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Kleine stormcondities | 40% | 25% | 10% |
| Zware-ernstige stormcondities | 05% | 05% | 05% |
Laatste nieuws
maandag 22 februari 2021 - 19:10 UTC
Filament eruption, G1 storm watch
donderdag 18 februari 2021 - 13:19 UTC
Coronal hole faces Earth
vrijdag 12 februari 2021 - 13:02 UTC
Coronal hole faces Earth
Laatste forumberichten
- K8, serieus? 2
- Suggesties? 5
- Poollichtkans 14 mei 2019 5
- Poollichtkans 23 maart 2019 3
- KP6 van 8 oktober 1
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Ruimteweer feitjes
| Laatste X-klasse uitbarsting | 10/09/2017 | X8.2 |
| Laatste M-klasse uitbarsting | 29/11/2020 | M4.4 |
| Laatste geomagnetische storm | 07/02/2021 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Zonnevlekkenloze dagen | |
|---|---|
| Afgelopen 365 dagen | 202 dagen |
| 2021 | 31 dagen (54%) |
| Laatste zonnevlekkenloze dag | 17/02/2021 |