Het archief bekijken van vrijdag 11 januari 2013

Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2013 Jan 11 1210 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetisme

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
11 Jan 2013	174	001
12 Jan 2013	179	001
13 Jan 2013	184	001

Bulletin

The main driver of solar activity is likely to be NOAA AR 1654, which has produced several C flares in the past 24 hours, and a M1.2 flare, today, at 0911 UT (peak time). A metric type II burst was observed, and a CME was probably associated to it. At the time this message is prepared, coronagraphic observations do not allow to see if a CME has indeed occurred. Active conditions (M flare likely) are expected for the next 48 hours from this region, with a risk of an X class flare. Geomagnetic conditions might evolve quickly from quiet to active levels in the coming days if CMEs related to NOAA AR 1654 flares occur; which justifies issuing a warning condition.

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 109, gebaseerd op 08 stations.

Zon indexen voor 10 Jan 2013

Wolfgetal Catania	185
10cm zonneflux	174
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	002
Geschatte Ap	002
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal	101 - Gebaseerd op 17 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

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