Het archief bekijken van zaterdag 21 februari 2015

Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2015 Feb 21 1225 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
21 Feb 2015	120	007
22 Feb 2015	125	017
23 Feb 2015	125	009

Bulletin

Solar activity was low with four C-class flares, mainly originating from NOAA active region (AR) 2286, which has currently rounded the west limb. The strongest flare was a C2.3 flare peaking at 15:22 UT on February 20. No associated solar event was observed. A filament eruption was observed starting on February 20 at 3:24 UT near S15E15, with a CME observed in LASCO/C2 (first clear measurement near 7:36 UT ) and in LASCO/C3 (first measurement near 12:06 UT). The very slow CME (nearly 200 km/s) was directed to the south with a less than 100 degrees angular width. No Earth-directed component is expected. Flaring at C-class flares is expected. Nominal solar wind conditions were observed, with the magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field maximally at 7 nT. The solar wind speed is currently around 350 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (K=1 to 3) at the local level (Dourbes) and global level (estimated NOAA Kp), which is expected to continue for the next few hours. The arrival of the anticipated coronal hole high speed stream could result in active geomagnetic conditions on February 22 (K=4, with a small chance for K=5).

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 043, gebaseerd op 10 stations.

Zon indexen voor 20 Feb 2015

Wolfgetal Catania	054
10cm zonneflux	120
AK Chambon La Forêt	011
AK Wingst	006
Geschatte Ap	005
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal	046 - Gebaseerd op 12 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

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