Het archief bekijken van zaterdag 17 oktober 2015

Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2015 Oct 17 1231 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
17 Oct 2015	113	016
18 Oct 2015	117	015
19 Oct 2015	120	009

Bulletin

Nine low-level C-class flares were recorded, the strongest a C4.3 flare from NOAA 2435 peaking at 13:24UT. There may still be an active region at the southeast limb trailing NOAA 2435. NOAA 2434 lost its small delta southeast of the main spot, but developed another one to the north. NOAA 2436 shows some magnetic complexity in its trailing portion. No earth- directed coronal mass ejections have been observed.

There's a chance on an M-class flare from any of the active regions NOAA 2434, 2435, or 2436.

Solar wind speed declined from 400 km/s to 350 km/s, with no sign of a high speed stream (HSS) from the trans-equatorial coronal hole (CH). Bz ranged between -5 and +7 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was mostly directed towards the Sun (negative). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed. An equatorial CH will start transiting the central meridian later today and its HSS may affect the geomagnetic environment late on 20 or on 21 October.

Mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on an active episode.

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 072, gebaseerd op 05 stations.

Zon indexen voor 16 Oct 2015

Wolfgetal Catania	///
10cm zonneflux	109
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	007
Geschatte Ap	007
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal	051 - Gebaseerd op 15 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

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