Het archief bekijken van woensdag 5 juni 2024

Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2024 Jun 05 1231 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
05 Jun 2024	195	006
06 Jun 2024	190	007
07 Jun 2024	190	007

Zonnevlekkengebieden en zonnevlammen

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a M3.4-flare, with peak time 08:56 UTC on June 05, from NOAA AR 3697 (beta-gamma-delta). There are currently 12 numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3697 is the most complex AR (beta-gamma-delta) and responsible for the majority of the flaring activity . The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the coming day with C-class flares expected and M-class flares likely and a chance of X-class flares.

Coronale massa uitstoten

A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) to the south west first seen in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 at 5:12 UTC on June 04 and is associated with an on disk signature of an eruption of AR 3703 near the central meridian at around 04:54 UTC. This CME is quite narrow, but will be further analysed to determine if there is an Earth directed component.

Coronale gaten

A north-south elongated equatorial positive polarity coronal hole crossed the central meridian late June 04. A possible arrival of high- speed stream from this coronal hole may impact the Earth from June 08.

Zonnewind

The solar wind at the Earth was slow, with speeds slowly rising up to 500 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT and Bz reaching minimum value of -5nT. Slow solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetisme

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled both globally and locally (NOAA Kp 2, Local K Bel 3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled in the next 24h.

Proton flux niveaus

Over the past 24 hours, the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next day. There is a slight chance that the proton flux may increase in case of strong flaring from NOAA AR 3697.

Elektronenfluxen in geostationaire baan

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, and is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 182, gebaseerd op 22 stations.

Zon indexen voor 04 Jun 2024

Wolfgetal Catania	///
10cm zonneflux	192
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	008
Geschatte Ap	008
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal	213 - Gebaseerd op 22 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

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