Het archief bekijken van zondag 18 augustus 2024

Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2024 Aug 18 1236 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
18 Aug 2024	235	008
19 Aug 2024	240	010
20 Aug 2024	230	010

Zonnevlekkengebieden en zonnevlammen

Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at high levels, with 5 M-class flares recorded. The largest flare was a M2.41-flare, with peak time 02:04 UTC on August 18 and is associated with NOAA AR 3784 (beta-gamma-delta). There are currently 9 numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3784 (beta-gamma-delta) and NOAA AR 3790 (beta-gamma) are the most magnetically complex regions on disk and produced most of the flaring activity in the last 24 hours. NOAA AR 3793 (beta) NOAA AR 3794 (beta) have emerged on the north-west quadrant of the visible disk. The solar flaring activity is likely to be at moderate levels over the coming days with C-class flares expected, M-class flares very likely and a small chance for an X-class flare.

Coronale massa uitstoten

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images.

Zonnewind

In the last 24 hours, the Earth came under the influence of an Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection (ICME) arrival. A shock was detected in the solar wind data around 13:30 UTC on August 17. The interplanetary magnetic field jumped from 7 nT to 17 nT, the solar wind speed increased from 324 km/s to 430 km/s, and the solar wind density at the shock rose from 2 particles/cm3 to 12 particles/cm3. The ICME is likely associated with a partial coronal mass ejection observed on August 14. The phi-angle was mainly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun) until it switched to the negative section around 16:30 UTC on August 17. Solar wind conditions are returning to the slow solar wind regime and are expected to remains so over the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetisme

Geomagnetic conditions have reached major storm levels globally (NOAA Kp 7-) and moderate storm levels locally (K BEL 6) between 15:00 UTC on August 17 and 01:00 UTC on August 18 after which they reduced to quiet to unsettled levels. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Proton flux niveaus

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at background levels and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Elektronenfluxen in geostationaire baan

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 16 was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal level and is expected to remain so in the next days.

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 209, gebaseerd op 07 stations.

Zon indexen voor 17 Aug 2024

Wolfgetal Catania	///
10cm zonneflux	230
AK Chambon La Forêt	048
AK Wingst	035
Geschatte Ap	036
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal	202 - Gebaseerd op 20 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

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